This wiki explains the AlliedOffsets forecasting model: a tool developed to help understand how supply, demand, and pricing for VCM and CDR credits may evolve under different scenarios.
The AlliedOffsets forecasting model attempts to project three key components of the market:
This wiki presents the reasoning and methodology for our model, presents the assumptions underlying the model, builds out several scenarios, and presents high level findings from the scenarios.
This is a live document that will be updated as we add more complexity, model out more sectors and sector-geography pairings, and update our assumptions.
<aside> <img src="https://prod-files-secure.s3.us-west-2.amazonaws.com/4a75d70c-40be-4961-9b54-d19db721dc19/2bc53874-0dfa-41ff-8447-258bcdfa886f/windmill_w_bg.jpg" alt="https://prod-files-secure.s3.us-west-2.amazonaws.com/4a75d70c-40be-4961-9b54-d19db721dc19/2bc53874-0dfa-41ff-8447-258bcdfa886f/windmill_w_bg.jpg" width="40px" /> AlliedOffsets is a technology and data provider for the voluntary carbon market, including the fledgling carbon dioxide removal space. We have the world’s largest database of carbon offsetting projects: over 30,000 projects across 25 registries, spanning the globe. We have relationships with brokers, buyers, and project developers, allowing us to have a deep understanding of the dynamics of setting up carbon projects. Our underlying data on projects allows us to model these dynamics across the entire market.
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This home page presents the general overview of the model, links users to the assumptions made in the model, and presents initial findings.
Please note that this model is a continual work in process: if you’d like to contribute to the model by providing information about the assumptions we make in the model, please reach out to [email protected].
We assume a high degree of familiarity with the carbon market in this wiki: if you are uncertain about more general concepts in the market like additionality or permanence, please consult other sources for that information.
We have data on the following parts of the carbon market, broken down by sector:
